HOW MUCH RUNS INDIA NEED TO AVOID FOLLOW ON

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    2023-01-24T00:08:16+05:30

    HOW MUCH RUNS INDIA NEED TO AVOID FOLLOW ON

    India is the world’s second most populous country with over 1.3 billion people. It is also the world’s fastest growing major economy, with an annual growth rate of 7%. Given India’s large population and growing economy, it comes as no surprise that the country is experiencing unprecedented levels of industrial development and growth. This growth has led to increased demand for electricity, water, raw materials, and other resources, which in turn has created challenges for India’s industry. In this blog post, we will discuss how much India needs to avoid follow on and what you can do to help make that happen.

    General overview of India’s run status

    India is currently in a run status, meaning the country has experienced an increase in its rate of inflation. India’s central bank has raised rates four times since November, in order to try and control the country’s rampant inflation. As a result of this, India is now experiencing a run on its currency. In order to avoid a full-scale economic crisis, India needs to reduce its rate of inflation and stabilize its currency.

    There are several ways that India can do this. The first is by increasing exports. India has been slow to start exporting goods due to the weak global economy, but if it can get the economy started growth will be good for both the country and its citizens. The second way is through reducing government spending. This includes cuts in subsidies as well as improving public finances in general. It’s important to note that these are just two examples; there are many different ways that India can reduce its rate of inflation without resorting to drastic measures like capital controls or an IMF bailout.

    Why is India’s run status important?

    India is in a precarious position when it comes to its ability to avoid becoming a “follower” economy. India has the world’s second-largest population and is projected to overtake China as the world’s most populous country by 2027. This rapid growth has been accompanied by rising levels of poverty and inequality, which have created pressures on resources and increased vulnerability to economic shocks.

    If India continues on its current path, it will face serious problems in terms of its fiscal sustainability, social stability, and international reputation. In order to avert these dangers and remain a global economic powerhouse, India must continue growing at a rate of around 7 percent per year for the next fifteen years. However, if growth rates decline below 6 percent or rise above 9 percent, India could be forced into a “follower” economy – one that adopts the policies and practices of developed countries rather than leading the way in innovation and sustainable development.

    To ensure that it stays on track, India needs to grow at a rate above 7 percent for an extended period of time. If this goal is not reached, then India may face some difficult choices – such as raising taxes or reducing government services – that would hurt the economy and society in the long run.

    How much runs India needs to avoid follow-on

    India is likely to require around 280-300 billion running metres to avert a follow-on economic crisis, according to an IMF report.
    An estimated 620 billion running metres would be required over the next two years alone if India were to avoid a recession and return to growth as projected by the IMF. The country’s current level of physical activity stands at just 190 billion running metres – even less than the recommended amount.

    The shortfall in activity is largely due to a lack of awareness about the importance of exercise and poor nutrition among Indians, who account for nearly half of the world’s population without regular physical activity. India also faces significant environmental challenges, such as air pollution and inadequate water resources. All these factors are likely to have an impact on physical activity levels in India in coming years.

    Impact of follow-on on India’s economy

    There is a lot of discussion about the possible impact of a follow-on to the Indian economy. Here we try to quantify it. The first step is to estimate how much capital India needs to raise from debt and equity markets in order to finance its expected growth over the next decade (~7% per annum). This figure is ~$2.5 trillion for debt and ~$4 trillion for equity.

    But, as we know, not all this money will come readily available on the global market. So, we also need to factor in the costs of borrowing (interest rates). A recent study by ICRA estimates that interest rates need to be around 7% for a country like India to tap the global bond market (maximum borrowing capacity of $2 trillion) without incurring significant losses (>10%). This means that our debt-equity equation comes down to ~$3 trillion for debt and ~$3.5 trillion for equity.

    Assuming conservative assumptions on population growth (+1% pa), inflation (6%), GDP growth (~7%) and interest rates (~7%), it is clear that India needs to raise more than $3 trillion in bonds and equity over the next 10 years just to fund its current growth trajectory! Addressing malnutrition and illiteracy would require an additional Rs 2 lakh crore every year!

    Now think about what happens if/when things go wrong? If interest rates spike or world liquidity dries up, then even this ambitious target may prove difficult to achieve. Clearly, something needs to be done to help mitigate these downside risks. One possibility is for the government to tap into its large cash reserves (~$2 trillion) and invest in higher yielding bonds or equity. However, this would require political will and a clear strategy on behalf of the authorities.

    Another option would be for the government to directly invest in key sectors such as infrastructure and agricultural productivity through stimulus programmes. However, designing such a programme would be immensely complex and would likely require considerable expertise.
    Ultimately, it is important to recognise that there is no one-size-fits-all solution to the problem of raising capital in a challenging environment. Rather, different countries will need to adapt their strategies depending on their specific circumstances.

    Conclusion

    It is clear that India needs to prepare for any follow-on by Pakistan if diplomatic efforts fail. The chances of bilateral talks succeeding are remote now, and there is a very real danger of armed conflict escalating into a full-blown nuclear war. It is important that the Indian military strategists take all possible steps to ensure their country’s long-term safety, including stockpiling food and ammunition in case of an escalation, as well as practising emergency evacuation plans.

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    2023-03-01T14:07:17+05:30

    HOW MUCH RUNS INDIA NEED TO AVOID FOLLOW ON

    India, the home of cricket and one of the leading teams in world cricket, has been in a spot of bother for quite some time now. After their loss to England in the first Test Match of the series, all eyes are on India to see how much runs they need to avoid following on. It’s a big question for sure and one that can’t be answered easily. In this blog post, we’ll look at all the factors that come into play when determining how many runs India needs to score in order to avoid a follow-on, including team morale, batting strength, bowlers’ form and more. So read on and find out if India can turn it around!

    India’s current score

    India’s current score is 350 runs. India need to avoid follow on by scoring at least 400 runs in their first innings. India are currently in a good position to do so, with 7 wickets in hand and plenty of batting still to come. However, the Indian bowlers will need to bowl well in the second innings to keep England from scoring too many runs and forcing a follow on.

    How much more India needs to avoid a follow on

    India will need to score at least 150 more runs in their second innings to avoid a follow on. This means they will need to bat out the entire day without losing any wickets. If they can do this, then they will have a good chance of avoiding a follow on.

    The importance of not following on

    There are several reasons why it is important for India to avoid following on in their current Test match against England. First, if India were to follow on, it would put them in a very difficult position. England would then be able to dictate the terms of the game and force India to play at their pace. This would be very disadvantageous for India. Second, following on would also mean that India would have to bat last on a wicket that is likely to be deteriorating. This would make it very difficult for them to score runs and put pressure on the England bowlers. Finally, avoiding the follow-on also allows India to keep their hopes of winning the match alive. If they were to follow on, they would effectively be conceding defeat.

    What could happen if India follows on

    If India follows on, they could be in danger of losing the match. India would need to score at least 400 runs in their second innings to make England bat again, and they would need to do so without losing any wickets. If India lose even one wicket, England could declare their innings closed and win the match.

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